Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Big East Conference · Wintrust Arena · February 2, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DEP -4.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money DEP -200 / HALL +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEP win
Actual DEP +17 131 Won
Massey DEP -7.7 (+9.3)
Massey Totals 138.9 (-7.9)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 83%
Efficiency Plus ML DEP -4.4 (+12.6) 136.3 (-5.3) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML DEP -6.1 (+10.9) 138.1 (-7.1) 75%
Baseline ML DEP -6.2 (+10.8) 137.4 (-6.4) 78%
Baseline Plus ML DEP -6.0 (+11.0) 135.3 (-4.3) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 DEP 6957 HALL
Jan 24, 2026 DEP 6760 HALL
Jan 8, 2025 HALL 8580 DEP
Mar 10, 2024 HALL 8662 DEP
Jan 31, 2024 HALL 7239 DEP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEP HALL
Overall 14-20 7-25
Conference 4-16 2-18
Home 11-8 5-11
Away 2-10 0-11
Neutral 1-2 2-3
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L2 L7
Avg Pts For 72.4 61.6
Avg Pts Against 74.5 70.2
Massey 3.3 (#113) -1.2 (#182)
Bradley-Terry -0.10 (#182) -0.84 (#244)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.11 (#161) -0.82 (#229)
RPI 0.470 (#230) 0.453 (#258)
Shooting & Four Factors DEP HALL
FG% 44.6% 40.7%
3PT% 35.9% 33.5%
REB / G 35.8 33.1
OREB / G 10.0 11.8
AST / TO 1.28 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 46.0%
TOV% 18.1% 19.6%
ORB% 29.1% 33.6%
FT Rate 21.6% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 21.1%
DRB% 72.4% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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