Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +210 ALA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -9.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -6.1 (-2.9) | 163.3 (-2.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -7.8 (-1.2) | 168.6 (-7.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -5.4 (-3.6) | 162.5 (-1.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -6.6 (-2.4) | 164.5 (-3.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UGA 98 – 88 ALA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ALA 90 – 69 UGA |
| Feb 18, 2023 | ALA 108 – 59 UGA |
| Jan 25, 2022 | UGA 82 – 76 ALA |
| Mar 6, 2021 | ALA 89 – 79 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 90.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#83) | 20.1 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#41) | 2.30 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#51) | 3.00 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#38) | 0.625 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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