Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +275 ALA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -9.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -6.4 (-3.6) | 162.0 (+6.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -5.9 (-4.1) | 159.5 (+8.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -6.7 (-3.3) | 160.7 (+7.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -6.7 (-3.3) | 159.1 (+8.9) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UGA 98 – 88 ALA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ALA 90 – 69 UGA |
| Jan 31, 2024 | ALA 85 – 76 UGA |
| Feb 18, 2023 | ALA 108 – 59 UGA |
| Jan 25, 2022 | UGA 82 – 76 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 26-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 2-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#100) | 17.0 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#74) | 2.73 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#85) | 3.49 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#128) | 0.626 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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