Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -2000 LOU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -19.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -16.0 (-10.0) | 153.3 (-19.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -17.4 (-11.4) | 150.4 (-16.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -15.4 (-9.4) | 151.3 (-17.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -16.0 (-10.0) | 153.2 (-19.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 75 LOU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | LOU 76 – 73 CLEM |
| Jan 8, 2025 | LOU 74 – 64 CLEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | LOU 83 – 73 CLEM |
| Jan 12, 2023 | CLEM 83 – 70 LOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-11 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#32) | -2.9 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#23) | -1.07 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#21) | -1.11 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#15) | 0.446 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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