Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -17.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -22.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -19.4 (-6.4) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -14.7 (-1.7) | 141.7 (+11.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -16.7 (-3.7) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -18.4 (-5.4) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 75 LOU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | LOU 76 – 73 CLEM |
| Jan 8, 2025 | LOU 74 – 64 CLEM |
| Jan 31, 2024 | CLEM 70 – 64 LOU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | LOU 83 – 73 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 15-2 | 4-13 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#68) | -10.1 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#37) | -2.60 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#43) | -2.36 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#31) | 0.410 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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