Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LIN -163 SEMO +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +4 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -5.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.3 (+1.7) | 137.2 (-25.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -3.4 (+0.6) | 135.0 (-23.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -3.6 (+0.4) | 135.1 (-23.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -3.2 (+0.8) | 138.2 (-26.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 4-10 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#344) | -15.5 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#342) | -2.37 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#341) | -3.16 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#347) | 0.377 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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