Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -600 LIN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -11.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -10.5 (+5.5) | 143.6 (-11.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -11.6 (+4.4) | 141.5 (-9.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -10.3 (+5.7) | 141.8 (-9.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -10.8 (+5.2) | 144.5 (-12.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LIN 58 – 54 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#194) | -10.3 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#206) | -1.30 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#213) | -2.33 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#162) | 0.455 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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