Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LIN +105 SEMO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -2.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -3.1 (+7.1) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -1.6 (+5.6) | 138.9 (+1.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.4 (+6.4) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -2.4 (+6.4) | 137.4 (+2.6) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LIN 58 – 54 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#323) | -4.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#323) | -0.91 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#335) | -1.19 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#323) | 0.467 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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