Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -162 LIN +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -2.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -4.2 (-2.2) | 144.5 (-10.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -3.4 (-1.4) | 140.9 (-6.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -3.6 (-1.6) | 142.1 (-8.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -2.3 (-0.3) | 145.7 (-11.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LIN 58 – 54 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#223) | -6.0 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#223) | -0.88 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#231) | -1.35 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#155) | 0.482 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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