Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | LIN -135 SEMO +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -2.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -1.6 (-13.6) | 150.5 (-16.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -1.6 (-13.6) | 149.3 (-15.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.0 (-14.0) | 148.6 (-14.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -2.1 (-14.1) | 150.0 (-16.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LIN 58 – 54 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#237) | -4.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#218) | -0.80 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#240) | -1.16 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#190) | 0.493 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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