Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -270 LIN +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +12 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -5.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -3.8 (-15.8) | 150.2 (+13.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -5.1 (-17.1) | 149.5 (+14.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -4.9 (-16.9) | 146.1 (+17.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -4.5 (-16.5) | 146.8 (+17.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LIN 58 – 54 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#219) | -5.1 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#241) | -0.84 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#239) | -1.16 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#250) | 0.456 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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