I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · January 31, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money KSU -167 / OU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual OU +20 126 Lost
Massey OU -0.5 (-19.5)
Massey Totals 140.5 (-14.5)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 53%
Efficiency Plus ML KSU -1.0 (-21.0) 138.7 (-12.7) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML KSU -0.6 (-20.6) 136.8 (-10.8) 55%
Baseline ML KSU -0.9 (-20.9) 138.4 (-12.4) 51%
Baseline Plus ML KSU -0.6 (-20.6) 139.6 (-13.6) 53%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2023 KSU 8569 OU
Feb 15, 2023 OU 7965 KSU
Mar 5, 2022 OU 7871 KSU
Jan 2, 2022 OU 7169 KSU
Feb 24, 2021 KSU 6257 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU OU
Overall 19-15 20-12
Conference 8-10 8-10
Home 14-3 14-4
Away 2-9 3-6
Neutral 3-3 3-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.2 75.4
Avg Pts Against 71.1 68.8
Massey 8.6 (#68) 12.7 (#33)
Bradley-Terry 1.76 (#53) 2.10 (#34)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#64) 2.65 (#34)
RPI 0.578 (#60) 0.579 (#58)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU OU
FG% 43.7% 48.0%
3PT% 31.7% 34.6%
REB / G 37.5 37.2
OREB / G 12.2 10.6
AST / TO 0.99 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 54.6%
TOV% 21.3% 18.2%
ORB% 34.9% 32.4%
FT Rate 26.5% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 17.9%
DRB% 67.7% 74.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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