Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Big 12 Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · January 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OU -8.0 Away covered
O/U 128.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +2 140 Won
Massey OU -9.0 (-7.0)
Massey Totals 124.4 (+15.6)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML OU -7.9 (-5.9) 131.4 (+8.6) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML OU -7.2 (-5.2) 132.5 (+7.5) 77%
Baseline ML OU -6.5 (-4.5) 132.7 (+7.3) 77%
Baseline Plus ML OU -5.8 (-3.8) 132.9 (+7.1) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2024 OU 7353 KSU
Mar 2, 2023 KSU 8569 OU
Feb 15, 2023 OU 7965 KSU
Mar 5, 2022 OU 7871 KSU
Feb 24, 2021 KSU 6257 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU KSU
Overall 19-16 14-17
Conference 7-11 6-12
Home 12-6 9-7
Away 3-8 5-7
Neutral 4-2 0-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 69.1 69.0
Avg Pts Against 65.0 67.5
Massey 11.0 (#34) 6.3 (#82)
Bradley-Terry 2.06 (#45) 0.76 (#110)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.86 (#39) 1.44 (#87)
RPI 0.572 (#60) 0.486 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors OU KSU
FG% 51.0% 44.3%
3PT% 36.1% 33.7%
REB / G 35.0 38.0
OREB / G 7.2 8.7
AST / TO 1.17 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.5% 51.0%
TOV% 20.9% 17.8%
ORB% 24.3% 26.1%
FT Rate 18.6% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.8% 43.6%
Opp TOV% 21.8% 20.4%
DRB% 75.9% 77.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.1% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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