In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Big 12 Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · January 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OU -8.0 Away covered
O/U 128.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +2 140 Won
Massey OU -9.0 (-7.0) — —
Massey Totals — 124.4 (+15.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OU -7.2 (-5.2) 132.5 (+7.5) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OU -7.9 (-5.9) 131.4 (+8.6) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OU -5.8 (-3.8) 132.9 (+7.1) 77% ✓
Baseline ML OU -6.5 (-4.5) 132.7 (+7.3) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2024 OU 73 – 53 KSU
Mar 2, 2023 KSU 85 – 69 OU
Feb 15, 2023 OU 79 – 65 KSU
Mar 5, 2022 OU 78 – 71 KSU
Feb 24, 2021 KSU 62 – 57 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU KSU
Overall 19-16 14-17
Conference 7-11 6-12
Home 12-6 9-7
Away 3-8 5-7
Neutral 4-2 0-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 69.1 69.0
Avg Pts Against 65.0 67.5
Massey 11.0 (#34) 6.3 (#82)
Bradley-Terry 2.06 (#45) 0.76 (#110)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.86 (#39) 1.44 (#87)
RPI 0.572 (#60) 0.486 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors OU KSU
FG% 51.0% 44.3%
3PT% 36.1% 33.7%
REB / G 35.0 38.0
OREB / G 7.2 8.7
AST / TO 1.17 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.5% 51.0%
TOV% 20.9% 17.8%
ORB% 24.3% 26.1%
FT Rate 18.6% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.8% 43.6%
Opp TOV% 21.8% 20.4%
DRB% 75.9% 77.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.1% 19.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.