Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +450 OU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +5 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | OU -14.4 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -11.2 (+16.2) | 135.5 (-16.5) | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -9.7 (+14.7) | 132.4 (-13.4) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -11.6 (+16.6) | 135.1 (-16.1) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -11.3 (+16.3) | 134.5 (-15.5) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2024 | OU 73 – 53 KSU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | KSU 85 – 69 OU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | OU 79 – 65 KSU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | OU 78 – 71 KSU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OU 71 – 69 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-8 |
| Home | 6-12 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#216) | 13.8 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#190) | 3.07 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#195) | 3.32 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#223) | 0.612 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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