I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · February 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread OU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money KSU +450 / OU -500
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +5 119 Won
Massey OU -14.4 (+19.4)
Massey Totals 134.6 (-15.6)
Bradley-Terry 5%
Weighted B-T 4%
Efficiency Plus ML OU -9.7 (+14.7) 132.4 (-13.4) 20%
Baseline Tuned ML OU -11.2 (+16.2) 135.5 (-16.5) 15%
Baseline ML OU -11.3 (+16.3) 134.5 (-15.5) 18%
Baseline Plus ML OU -11.6 (+16.6) 135.1 (-16.1) 16%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2024 OU 7353 KSU
Mar 2, 2023 KSU 8569 OU
Feb 15, 2023 OU 7965 KSU
Mar 5, 2022 OU 7871 KSU
Jan 2, 2022 OU 7169 KSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU OU
Overall 9-20 16-11
Conference 4-14 9-8
Home 6-12 10-3
Away 2-7 4-7
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 61.6 74.5
Avg Pts Against 69.9 69.9
Massey -3.0 (#216) 13.8 (#23)
Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#190) 3.07 (#6)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#195) 3.32 (#20)
RPI 0.469 (#223) 0.612 (#19)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU OU
FG% 41.4% 44.2%
3PT% 30.2% 33.3%
REB / G 33.0 37.8
OREB / G 10.2 10.6
AST / TO 0.89 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 50.7%
TOV% 22.5% 15.2%
ORB% 30.1% 28.8%
FT Rate 17.7% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 18.5%
DRB% 72.5% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 15.2%

Game Analysis

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