Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -300 OU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -8.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -7.4 (+8.6) | 137.6 (+16.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -7.4 (+8.6) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -7.1 (+8.9) | 139.4 (+14.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -6.7 (+9.3) | 138.8 (+15.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2024 | OU 73 – 53 KSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | OU 79 – 65 KSU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | OU 78 – 71 KSU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OU 71 – 69 KSU |
| Feb 24, 2021 | KSU 62 – 57 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#18) | 8.8 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#9) | 1.51 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#12) | 2.19 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#29) | 0.535 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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