Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | OU -138 KSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -2.2 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.0 (+15.0) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -1.7 (+15.7) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -2.0 (+16.0) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -1.5 (+15.5) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2024 | OU 73 – 53 KSU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | KSU 85 – 69 OU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | OU 78 – 71 KSU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OU 71 – 69 KSU |
| Feb 24, 2021 | KSU 62 – 57 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#74) | 13.6 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#64) | 2.77 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#52) | 3.25 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#107) | 0.607 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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