Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -0.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.4 (-8.4) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -0.6 (-7.6) | 133.0 (+16.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -1.4 (-8.4) | 135.4 (+13.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -1.2 (-8.2) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2024 | OU 73 – 53 KSU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | KSU 85 – 69 OU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | OU 79 – 65 KSU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OU 71 – 69 KSU |
| Feb 24, 2021 | KSU 62 – 57 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#61) | 11.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#65) | 1.79 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#50) | 2.52 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.532 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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