Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -138 SDSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -2.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -0.9 (+7.1) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -1.9 (+6.1) | 143.1 (+6.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -1.8 (+6.2) | 141.6 (+8.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -2.0 (+6.0) | 143.5 (+6.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 62 CSU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | CSU 83 – 74 SDSU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 50 CSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSU 68 – 63 SDSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SDSU 75 – 60 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#37) | 13.1 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#33) | 2.62 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#32) | 3.22 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#13) | 0.660 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.