Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -285 CSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -4.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -3.7 (+5.3) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -3.0 (+6.0) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -3.2 (+5.8) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -3.0 (+6.0) | 142.5 (-9.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CSU 83 – 74 SDSU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 50 CSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSU 68 – 63 SDSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SDSU 75 – 60 CSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | SDSU 71 – 55 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#51) | 6.7 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#60) | 1.28 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#54) | 1.67 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#48) | 0.543 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.