Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BC -188 SYR +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BC -3.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -1.5 (+3.5) | 146.9 (+8.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -2.1 (+2.9) | 145.4 (+9.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -2.4 (+2.6) | 145.5 (+9.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -1.9 (+3.1) | 148.2 (+6.8) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | BC 81 – 73 SYR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SYR 95 – 86 BC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SYR 79 – 71 BC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SYR 69 – 59 BC |
| Feb 4, 2023 | SYR 77 – 68 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#89) | 6.7 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#90) | 2.00 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#92) | 2.33 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#88) | 0.626 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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