And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Atlantic Coast Conference · JMA Wireless Dome · January 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -4.0 Home covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money SYR -180 / BC +152
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +10 128 Won
Massey SYR -3.8 (+6.2) — —
Massey Totals — 156.3 (-28.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SYR -3.5 (+6.5) 152.3 (-24.3) 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SYR -2.1 (+7.9) 149.4 (-21.4) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -4.6 (+5.4) 151.2 (-23.2) 69% ✓
Baseline ML SYR -4.4 (+5.6) 153.4 (-25.4) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 BC 81 – 73 SYR
Feb 8, 2025 SYR 95 – 86 BC
Jan 11, 2025 SYR 79 – 71 BC
Jan 31, 2024 BC 80 – 75 SYR
Feb 4, 2023 SYR 77 – 68 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR BC
Overall 20-12 20-16
Conference 11-9 8-12
Home 14-2 10-6
Away 4-7 7-7
Neutral 1-3 3-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 74.1
Avg Pts Against 76.3 71.9
Massey 7.1 (#77) 7.4 (#74)
Bradley-Terry 1.96 (#43) 1.39 (#73)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.38 (#48) 1.83 (#74)
RPI 0.627 (#19) 0.569 (#72)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR BC
FG% 44.4% 47.2%
3PT% 31.3% 36.8%
REB / G 36.2 36.1
OREB / G 10.2 9.9
AST / TO 1.04 1.56
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 53.6%
TOV% 17.6% 13.5%
ORB% 27.8% 28.3%
FT Rate 23.9% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 17.9%
DRB% 68.5% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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