Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BC +220 SYR -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -6.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -4.4 (+12.4) | 134.9 (+19.1) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -5.3 (+13.3) | 136.8 (+17.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -6.5 (+14.5) | 132.9 (+21.1) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -5.5 (+13.5) | 134.9 (+19.1) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | SYR 95 – 86 BC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SYR 79 – 71 BC |
| Jan 31, 2024 | BC 80 – 75 SYR |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SYR 69 – 59 BC |
| Feb 4, 2023 | SYR 77 – 68 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#169) | 9.3 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#233) | 1.66 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#210) | 2.52 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#237) | 0.547 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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