We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Atlantic Coast Conference · Conte Forum · February 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -3.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money BC +138 / SYR -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total BC win
Actual SYR +9 145 Lost
Massey SYR -2.4 (-6.6)
Massey Totals 137.5 (+7.5)
Bradley-Terry 56%
Weighted B-T 53%
Efficiency Plus ML SYR -2.7 (-6.3) 139.9 (+5.1) 40%
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -1.3 (-7.7) 139.0 (+6.0) 46%
Baseline ML SYR -2.1 (-6.9) 140.5 (+4.5) 44%
Baseline Plus ML SYR -1.9 (-7.1) 139.9 (+5.1) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 BC 8173 SYR
Feb 8, 2025 SYR 9586 BC
Jan 11, 2025 SYR 7971 BC
Jan 31, 2024 BC 8075 SYR
Jan 11, 2024 SYR 6959 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BC SYR
Overall 16-17 17-15
Conference 9-11 10-10
Home 9-7 11-7
Away 4-7 5-6
Neutral 3-3 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.6 74.1
Avg Pts Against 70.2 72.9
Massey -1.0 (#192) 4.9 (#96)
Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#150) 0.64 (#117)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#141) 1.03 (#104)
RPI 0.503 (#173) 0.523 (#136)
Shooting & Four Factors BC SYR
FG% 43.2% 47.0%
3PT% 29.4% 36.4%
REB / G 32.8 35.4
OREB / G 9.3 10.3
AST / TO 0.97 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 52.3%
TOV% 17.9% 17.1%
ORB% 27.1% 30.5%
FT Rate 20.8% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 19.9% 19.6%
DRB% 71.4% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.7% 16.6%

Game Analysis

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