All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Syracuse Orange
95 – 86 3OT
FINAL Conference
Boston College Eagles
Atlantic Coast Conference · JMA Wireless Dome · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -7.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money SYR -340 / BC +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +9 181 Won
Massey SYR -8.4 (+0.6) — —
Massey Totals — 151.9 (+29.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SYR -6.6 (+2.4) 149.1 (+31.9) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SYR -7.5 (+1.5) 146.2 (+34.8) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -7.1 (+1.9) 147.1 (+33.9) 79% ✓
Baseline ML SYR -7.3 (+1.7) 147.5 (+33.5) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 BC 81 – 73 SYR
Jan 11, 2025 SYR 79 – 71 BC
Jan 31, 2024 BC 80 – 75 SYR
Jan 11, 2024 SYR 69 – 59 BC
Feb 4, 2023 SYR 77 – 68 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR BC
Overall 14-19 12-19
Conference 7-13 4-16
Home 11-6 9-8
Away 2-9 0-10
Neutral 1-4 3-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 74.7 70.4
Avg Pts Against 77.8 75.8
Massey 2.1 (#131) -3.2 (#217)
Bradley-Terry 0.52 (#126) -0.08 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#109) -0.38 (#201)
RPI 0.526 (#132) 0.477 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR BC
FG% 45.1% 43.4%
3PT% 31.6% 35.9%
REB / G 37.6 34.4
OREB / G 10.8 10.7
AST / TO 1.04 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 49.1%
TOV% 17.8% 17.5%
ORB% 30.2% 30.3%
FT Rate 22.2% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 13.5% 15.2%
DRB% 74.1% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 27.8%

Game Analysis

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