I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Syracuse Orange
95 86 3OT
FINAL Conference
Boston College Eagles
Atlantic Coast Conference · JMA Wireless Dome · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -7.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money SYR -340 / BC +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +9 181 Won
Massey SYR -8.4 (+0.6)
Massey Totals 151.9 (+29.1)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 86%
Efficiency Plus ML SYR -7.5 (+1.5) 146.2 (+34.8) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -7.1 (+1.9) 147.1 (+33.9) 79%
Baseline ML SYR -7.3 (+1.7) 147.5 (+33.5) 81%
Baseline Plus ML SYR -6.6 (+2.4) 149.1 (+31.9) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 BC 8173 SYR
Jan 11, 2025 SYR 7971 BC
Jan 31, 2024 BC 8075 SYR
Jan 11, 2024 SYR 6959 BC
Feb 4, 2023 SYR 7768 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR BC
Overall 14-19 12-19
Conference 7-13 4-16
Home 11-6 9-8
Away 2-9 0-10
Neutral 1-4 3-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 74.7 70.4
Avg Pts Against 77.8 75.8
Massey 2.1 (#131) -3.2 (#217)
Bradley-Terry 0.52 (#126) -0.08 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#109) -0.38 (#201)
RPI 0.526 (#132) 0.477 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR BC
FG% 45.1% 43.4%
3PT% 31.6% 35.9%
REB / G 37.6 34.4
OREB / G 10.8 10.7
AST / TO 1.04 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 49.1%
TOV% 17.8% 17.5%
ORB% 30.2% 30.3%
FT Rate 22.2% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 13.5% 15.2%
DRB% 74.1% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 27.8%

Game Analysis

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