Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Atlantic Coast Conference · Conte Forum · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BC -1.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money BC -125 / SYR +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total BC win
Actual SYR +8 150 Lost
Massey SYR -0.4 (-7.6) — —
Massey Totals — 153.1 (-3.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 60% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BC -0.8 (-8.8) 151.0 (-1.0) 55% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BC -1.4 (-9.4) 147.5 (+2.5) 60% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BC -0.8 (-8.8) 148.6 (+1.4) 56% ✗
Baseline ML BC -0.4 (-8.4) 149.5 (+0.5) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 BC 81 – 73 SYR
Feb 8, 2025 SYR 95 – 86 BC
Jan 31, 2024 BC 80 – 75 SYR
Jan 11, 2024 SYR 69 – 59 BC
Feb 4, 2023 SYR 77 – 68 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BC SYR
Overall 12-19 14-19
Conference 4-16 7-13
Home 9-8 11-6
Away 0-10 2-9
Neutral 3-1 1-4
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 70.4 74.7
Avg Pts Against 75.8 77.8
Massey -3.5 (#223) 0.9 (#151)
Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#177) 0.00 (#174)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#193) 0.16 (#158)
RPI 0.490 (#193) 0.509 (#156)
Shooting & Four Factors BC SYR
FG% 42.9% 45.5%
3PT% 33.9% 28.9%
REB / G 37.3 39.1
OREB / G 12.2 11.0
AST / TO 0.93 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 50.1%
TOV% 18.0% 17.8%
ORB% 34.0% 30.3%
FT Rate 25.4% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 14.4%
DRB% 74.0% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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