Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Atlantic Coast Conference · Conte Forum · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BC -1.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money BC -125 / SYR +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total BC win
Actual SYR +8 150 Lost
Massey SYR -0.4 (-7.6)
Massey Totals 153.1 (-3.1)
Bradley-Terry 67%
Weighted B-T 60%
Efficiency Plus ML BC -1.4 (-9.4) 147.5 (+2.5) 60%
Baseline Tuned ML BC -0.8 (-8.8) 148.6 (+1.4) 56%
Baseline ML BC -0.4 (-8.4) 149.5 (+0.5) 54%
Baseline Plus ML BC -0.8 (-8.8) 151.0 (-1.0) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 BC 8173 SYR
Feb 8, 2025 SYR 9586 BC
Jan 31, 2024 BC 8075 SYR
Jan 11, 2024 SYR 6959 BC
Feb 4, 2023 SYR 7768 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BC SYR
Overall 12-19 14-19
Conference 4-16 7-13
Home 9-8 11-6
Away 0-10 2-9
Neutral 3-1 1-4
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 70.4 74.7
Avg Pts Against 75.8 77.8
Massey -3.5 (#223) 0.9 (#151)
Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#177) 0.00 (#174)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#193) 0.16 (#158)
RPI 0.490 (#193) 0.509 (#156)
Shooting & Four Factors BC SYR
FG% 42.9% 45.5%
3PT% 33.9% 28.9%
REB / G 37.3 39.1
OREB / G 12.2 11.0
AST / TO 0.93 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 50.1%
TOV% 18.0% 17.8%
ORB% 34.0% 30.3%
FT Rate 25.4% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 14.4%
DRB% 74.0% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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