Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | KU -1600 OKST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +29 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | KU -14.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -12.4 (+16.6) | 141.6 (-4.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -13.1 (+15.9) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -12.7 (+16.3) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -13.6 (+15.4) | 142.9 (-5.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | KU 81 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KU 90 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 31, 2022 | KU 69 – 67 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#19) | 3.4 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#10) | -0.24 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#11) | 0.03 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#10) | 0.479 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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