Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Big 12 Conference · Gallagher-Iba Arena · January 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money OKST +225 / KU -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual KU +24 156 Lost
Massey KU -5.5 (-18.5)
Massey Totals 140.1 (+15.9)
Bradley-Terry 5%
Weighted B-T 4%
Baseline Plus ML KU -4.4 (-19.6) 141.9 (+14.1) 34%
Model 4 ML KU -3.4 (-20.6) 141.0 (+15.0) 34%
Model 3 ML KU -6.4 (-17.6) 139.7 (+16.3) 27%
Baseline ML KU -4.8 (-19.2) 140.8 (+15.2) 31%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 KU 8169 OKST
Feb 22, 2025 KU 9664 OKST
Jan 31, 2024 KU 8354 OKST
Feb 15, 2023 KU 8776 OKST
Dec 31, 2022 KU 6967 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST KU
Overall 12-20 23-11
Conference 4-14 10-8
Home 10-8 15-1
Away 1-9 3-7
Neutral 1-3 4-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 71.0 75.3
Avg Pts Against 72.7 70.3
Massey 4.4 (#106) 13.8 (#24)
Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#209) 3.32 (#4)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#180) 3.89 (#8)
RPI 0.476 (#217) 0.665 (#5)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST KU
FG% 45.6% 49.5%
3PT% 36.1% 36.8%
REB / G 36.8 38.0
OREB / G 9.9 9.1
AST / TO 1.09 1.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 55.2%
TOV% 19.8% 17.2%
ORB% 29.6% 28.5%
FT Rate 18.7% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 45.6%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 17.0%
DRB% 74.7% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 16.8%

Game Analysis

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