Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +225 KU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +24 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -5.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.4 (-17.6) | 139.7 (+16.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.4 (-20.6) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.4 (-19.6) | 141.9 (+14.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.8 (-19.2) | 140.8 (+15.2) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | KU 81 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 31, 2024 | KU 83 – 54 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 31, 2022 | KU 69 – 67 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#106) | 13.8 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#209) | 3.32 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#180) | 3.89 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#217) | 0.665 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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