Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | KU -600 OKST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | KU -10.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -9.8 (-7.8) | 140.8 (-4.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -8.6 (-6.6) | 140.7 (-4.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -8.4 (-6.4) | 142.7 (-6.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -9.1 (-7.1) | 140.5 (-4.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | KU 81 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 31, 2024 | KU 83 – 54 OKST |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KU 90 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 16.4 (#7) | 11.0 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#3) | 1.27 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.85 (#5) | 2.30 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#2) | 0.560 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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