Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Big 12 Conference · Allen Fieldhouse · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KU -10.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money KU -600 / OKST +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +2 136 Won
Massey KU -10.1 (-8.1)
Massey Totals 138.8 (-2.8)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML KU -8.4 (-6.4) 142.7 (-6.7) 84%
Model 4 ML KU -8.6 (-6.6) 140.7 (-4.7) 83%
Model 3 ML KU -9.8 (-7.8) 140.8 (-4.8) 83%
Baseline ML KU -9.1 (-7.1) 140.5 (-4.5) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 KU 8169 OKST
Feb 22, 2025 KU 9664 OKST
Jan 31, 2024 KU 8354 OKST
Jan 17, 2024 KU 9066 OKST
Feb 15, 2023 KU 8776 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU OKST
Overall 28-8 20-16
Conference 13-5 8-10
Home 15-1 12-6
Away 7-4 6-7
Neutral 6-3 2-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 68.3
Avg Pts Against 68.1 65.8
Massey 16.4 (#7) 11.0 (#35)
Bradley-Terry 4.01 (#3) 1.27 (#75)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.85 (#5) 2.30 (#55)
RPI 0.678 (#2) 0.560 (#77)
Shooting & Four Factors KU OKST
FG% 48.3% 45.2%
3PT% 35.9% 32.5%
REB / G 38.4 39.5
OREB / G 11.0 11.6
AST / TO 1.47 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.3% 51.2%
TOV% 17.4% 21.8%
ORB% 31.7% 35.0%
FT Rate 17.9% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.8% 41.6%
Opp TOV% 22.6% 19.3%
DRB% 71.8% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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