Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +260 KU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +12 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -7.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -5.2 (-6.8) | 150.0 (+0.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.9 (-7.1) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.1 (-6.9) | 152.2 (-2.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.3 (-6.7) | 150.2 (-0.2) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 31, 2024 | KU 83 – 54 OKST |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KU 90 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 31, 2022 | KU 69 – 67 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#65) | 19.6 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#51) | 3.75 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#51) | 4.45 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#73) | 0.659 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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