So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Big 12 Conference · Allen Fieldhouse · February 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread KU -14.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money KU -1800 / OKST +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +32 160 Won
Massey KU -16.0 (+16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 146.8 (+13.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -13.6 (+18.4) 146.9 (+13.1) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -13.8 (+18.2) 146.0 (+14.0) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -14.3 (+17.7) 146.8 (+13.2) 88% ✓
Baseline ML KU -13.7 (+18.3) 147.8 (+12.2) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 KU 81 – 69 OKST
Jan 31, 2024 KU 83 – 54 OKST
Jan 17, 2024 KU 90 – 66 OKST
Feb 15, 2023 KU 87 – 76 OKST
Dec 31, 2022 KU 69 – 67 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU OKST
Overall 21-13 17-18
Conference 11-9 7-13
Home 14-3 13-4
Away 4-8 3-10
Neutral 3-2 1-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.1 73.0
Avg Pts Against 69.6 76.3
Massey 16.9 (#21) 4.1 (#104)
Bradley-Terry 2.47 (#32) 0.98 (#90)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.10 (#32) 1.30 (#89)
RPI 0.615 (#24) 0.500 (#179)
Shooting & Four Factors KU OKST
FG% 47.1% 42.9%
3PT% 33.9% 32.3%
REB / G 38.6 35.3
OREB / G 10.2 11.4
AST / TO 1.56 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 48.7%
TOV% 16.4% 18.8%
ORB% 29.7% 32.1%
FT Rate 16.7% 31.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.2% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 20.1%
DRB% 73.0% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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