The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
New Mexico Lobos
78 86
FINAL Conference
Boise State Broncos
Mountain West Conference · The Pit · February 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNM -10.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money UNM -600 / BOIS +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual BOIS +8 164 Lost
Massey UNM -10.8 (-18.8)
Massey Totals 150.8 (+13.2)
Bradley-Terry 81%
Weighted B-T 85%
Efficiency Plus ML UNM -9.1 (-17.1) 143.3 (+20.7) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML UNM -10.3 (-18.3) 146.1 (+17.9) 83%
Baseline ML UNM -9.6 (-17.6) 146.1 (+17.9) 78%
Baseline Plus ML UNM -9.7 (-17.7) 147.6 (+16.4) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 BOIS 9190 UNM
Dec 31, 2025 BOIS 6253 UNM
Mar 15, 2025 BOIS 7269 UNM
Feb 20, 2025 BOIS 8678 UNM
Jan 18, 2025 UNM 8465 BOIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM BOIS
Overall 26-10 22-11
Conference 10-8 13-5
Home 13-3 13-3
Away 5-6 7-3
Neutral 8-1 2-5
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 80.8 73.6
Avg Pts Against 71.2 67.6
Massey 16.2 (#13) 9.0 (#64)
Bradley-Terry 2.61 (#13) 1.83 (#48)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.06 (#17) 2.09 (#58)
RPI 0.646 (#7) 0.598 (#34)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM BOIS
FG% 48.0% 43.8%
3PT% 34.7% 34.2%
REB / G 38.2 35.3
OREB / G 12.0 10.4
AST / TO 1.47 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 50.2%
TOV% 14.4% 17.6%
ORB% 32.7% 30.8%
FT Rate 24.2% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 22.0% 17.7%
DRB% 72.6% 76.1%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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