I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · February 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -4.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money WVU +145 / CIN -188
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +4 134 Won
Massey CIN -8.8 (+12.8)
Massey Totals 143.6 (-9.6)
Bradley-Terry 24%
Weighted B-T 17%
Efficiency Plus ML CIN -7.2 (+11.2) 141.4 (-7.4) 29%
Baseline Tuned ML CIN -6.7 (+10.7) 139.2 (-5.2) 23%
Baseline ML CIN -7.5 (+11.5) 139.4 (-5.4) 23%
Baseline Plus ML CIN -7.4 (+11.4) 141.8 (-7.8) 24%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 WVU 5954 CIN
Jan 7, 2026 WVU 6260 CIN
Feb 20, 2025 WVU 6259 CIN
Feb 2, 2025 WVU 6350 CIN
Mar 12, 2024 CIN 9085 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU CIN
Overall 9-23 22-15
Conference 4-14 7-11
Home 9-9 16-5
Away 0-9 4-8
Neutral 0-5 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 74.7
Avg Pts Against 76.8 68.2
Massey 1.2 (#147) 13.6 (#23)
Bradley-Terry -0.09 (#185) 1.72 (#54)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.19 (#163) 2.53 (#38)
RPI 0.498 (#175) 0.580 (#56)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU CIN
FG% 41.2% 45.0%
3PT% 33.0% 33.1%
REB / G 34.6 41.5
OREB / G 9.4 14.0
AST / TO 1.05 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 50.7%
TOV% 17.6% 16.4%
ORB% 26.7% 37.5%
FT Rate 26.9% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 17.5%
DRB% 70.6% 77.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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