Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -8000 VAL +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -20.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -18.8 (-7.8) | 145.1 (+5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -18.3 (-7.3) | 144.9 (+6.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -16.7 (-5.7) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -18.7 (-7.7) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAL 74 – 71 DRKE |
| Feb 10, 2026 | VAL 81 – 76 DRKE |
| Jan 23, 2025 | DRKE 81 – 71 VAL |
| Dec 6, 2024 | DRKE 66 – 60 VAL |
| Nov 30, 2023 | DRKE 83 – 65 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 3-17 |
| Home | 16-0 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#45) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#44) | -1.29 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#45) | -1.19 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#26) | 0.445 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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