Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -1200 VAL +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -13.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -14.7 (-4.7) | 125.9 (+26.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -11.8 (-1.8) | 130.5 (+21.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -12.9 (-2.9) | 130.5 (+21.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.5 (-2.5) | 128.4 (+23.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAL 74 – 71 DRKE |
| Feb 10, 2026 | VAL 81 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 6, 2024 | DRKE 66 – 60 VAL |
| Feb 1, 2024 | DRKE 81 – 70 VAL |
| Nov 30, 2023 | DRKE 83 – 65 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-7 |
| Away | 9-1 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#78) | -2.6 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#32) | -0.26 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#41) | -0.50 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#39) | 0.478 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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