Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +275 FUR -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -2.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -2.9 (-0.1) | 143.7 (+17.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -5.4 (+2.4) | 144.7 (+16.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -2.5 (-0.5) | 147.0 (+14.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -2.9 (-0.1) | 146.9 (+14.1) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | FUR 82 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#246) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#268) | 0.23 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#262) | 0.22 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#274) | 0.510 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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