Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +800 FUR -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -17.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -14.0 (+10.0) | 135.3 (-5.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -12.5 (+8.5) | 138.6 (-8.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -14.0 (+10.0) | 133.9 (-3.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -13.9 (+9.9) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | FUR 82 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-12 | 13-3 |
| Away | 0-12 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L24 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#359) | 4.4 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#360) | 2.06 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.54 (#358) | 1.85 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#355) | 0.580 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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