I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Furman Paladins
85 42
FINAL Conference
The Citadel Bulldogs
Southern Conference · Bon Secours Wellness Arena · February 27, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -15.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money FUR -1600 / CIT +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual FUR +43 127 Won
Massey FUR -18.3 (+24.7)
Massey Totals 137.4 (-10.4)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML FUR -15.7 (+27.3) 139.4 (-12.4) 88%
Model 4 ML FUR -14.3 (+28.7) 142.4 (-15.4) 88%
Model 3 ML FUR -14.6 (+28.4) 140.2 (-13.2) 89%
Baseline ML FUR -14.9 (+28.1) 141.3 (-14.3) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 FUR 7251 CIT
Jan 22, 2026 CIT 7775 FUR
Jan 9, 2025 FUR 6763 CIT
Feb 1, 2024 FUR 8279 CIT
Jan 11, 2024 FUR 8268 CIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR CIT
Overall 25-10 5-25
Conference 11-7 0-18
Home 13-3 5-12
Away 9-6 0-12
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L24
Avg Pts For 74.2 63.0
Avg Pts Against 71.1 76.9
Massey 0.1 (#157) -15.0 (#356)
Bradley-Terry 0.70 (#111) -3.96 (#361)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.45 (#141) -4.35 (#360)
RPI 0.546 (#90) 0.352 (#363)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR CIT
FG% 43.2% 40.9%
3PT% 34.2% 29.8%
REB / G 35.6 32.7
OREB / G 10.7 9.9
AST / TO 1.40 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 47.7%
TOV% 17.1% 19.5%
ORB% 30.8% 27.2%
FT Rate 23.6% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 15.2%
DRB% 68.8% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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