Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -1600 CIT +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +43 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -18.3 (+24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -14.6 (+28.4) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -14.3 (+28.7) | 142.4 (-15.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -15.7 (+27.3) | 139.4 (-12.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -14.9 (+28.1) | 141.3 (-14.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | FUR 82 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 0-18 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-12 |
| Away | 9-6 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L24 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#157) | -15.0 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#111) | -3.96 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#141) | -4.35 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#90) | 0.352 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.