Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -1650 CIT +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +21 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -16.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.2 (+8.8) | 140.6 (-17.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -15.3 (+5.7) | 140.6 (-17.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -12.5 (+8.5) | 140.4 (-17.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.0 (+9.0) | 140.5 (-17.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | FUR 82 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#197) | -15.1 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#200) | -2.24 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#197) | -2.97 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#154) | 0.391 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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