Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +470 FUR -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -11.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -10.0 (+12.0) | 139.8 (+12.2) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -11.5 (+13.5) | 145.3 (+6.7) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -10.4 (+12.4) | 139.8 (+12.2) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -10.2 (+12.2) | 141.3 (+10.7) | 16% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | FUR 82 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#349) | -0.8 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#350) | 0.19 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.65 (#351) | -0.04 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#353) | 0.524 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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