Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -200 UTC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +6 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -5.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -5.0 (-11.0) | 146.5 (+29.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -3.6 (-9.6) | 147.0 (+29.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -5.1 (-11.1) | 144.4 (+31.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -5.4 (-11.4) | 145.0 (+31.0) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | 1.6 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#94) | 0.40 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#105) | 0.35 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#111) | 0.501 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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