Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -175 WCU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +19 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -1.7 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -1.1 (-20.1) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -1.8 (-20.8) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -1.4 (-20.4) | 146.8 (-1.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.9 (-19.9) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UTC 91 – 85 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#144) | 3.4 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#119) | 0.84 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#130) | 0.89 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#134) | 0.542 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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