Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -125 UTC +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +8 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -4.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -2.2 (-10.2) | 146.4 (+25.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -0.4 (-8.4) | 146.9 (+25.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -2.4 (-10.4) | 144.6 (+27.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -2.4 (-10.4) | 145.2 (+26.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UTC 91 – 85 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#282) | -8.5 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#268) | -1.51 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#269) | -1.98 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#223) | 0.423 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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