Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -122 WCU +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -0.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -0.7 (-5.7) | 145.1 (+11.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -0.3 (-4.7) | 144.6 (+12.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -0.2 (-4.8) | 145.9 (+11.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -1.2 (-6.2) | 146.2 (+10.8) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UTC 91 – 85 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#299) | -6.5 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#306) | -1.32 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#303) | -1.82 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#309) | 0.462 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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