Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -5000 VAN +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +27 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -24.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -19.9 (+7.1) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -17.0 (+10.0) | 139.7 (-4.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -19.4 (+7.6) | 140.7 (-5.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -19.8 (+7.2) | 140.7 (-5.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VAN 84 – 76 AUB |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AUB 80 – 68 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | AUB 80 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2023 | VAN 67 – 65 AUB |
| Feb 17, 2022 | AUB 94 – 80 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-10 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#8) | -2.4 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#24) | -1.10 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#14) | -1.30 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#18) | 0.457 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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