Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +360 AUB -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -10.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -8.3 (-3.7) | 157.7 (-9.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -8.5 (-3.5) | 156.8 (-8.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -8.4 (-3.6) | 160.1 (-12.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -8.6 (-3.4) | 161.1 (-13.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VAN 84 – 76 AUB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | AUB 81 – 54 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | AUB 80 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2023 | VAN 67 – 65 AUB |
| Feb 17, 2022 | AUB 94 – 80 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 11-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#43) | 26.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#21) | 4.89 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#36) | 6.01 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#42) | 0.705 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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