Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +125 AUB -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -4.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -2.4 (+4.4) | 143.5 (-11.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -2.5 (+4.5) | 142.8 (-10.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -1.9 (+3.9) | 143.9 (-11.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -2.5 (+4.5) | 143.1 (-11.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VAN 84 – 76 AUB |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AUB 80 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | AUB 81 – 54 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | AUB 80 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 17, 2022 | AUB 94 – 80 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#94) | 13.0 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#68) | 2.02 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#79) | 2.44 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#57) | 0.605 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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