Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +500 AUB -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +15 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -17.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -13.3 (-1.7) | 146.0 (-1.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -13.4 (-1.6) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -14.2 (-0.8) | 143.6 (+1.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -14.4 (-0.6) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VAN 84 – 76 AUB |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AUB 80 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | AUB 81 – 54 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2023 | VAN 67 – 65 AUB |
| Feb 17, 2022 | AUB 94 – 80 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-10 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#227) | 18.1 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#274) | 2.62 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#275) | 3.34 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#235) | 0.630 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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