Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -400 UNI +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -8.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -7.8 (+8.2) | 140.5 (+13.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -6.9 (+9.1) | 140.8 (+13.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -6.8 (+9.2) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -6.5 (+9.5) | 141.5 (+12.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#66) | 4.2 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#72) | 0.98 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#81) | 1.19 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#36) | 0.559 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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