Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | BUCK -365 L-MD +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -10.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -7.5 (+7.5) | 132.9 (-13.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -8.9 (+6.1) | 135.4 (-16.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -8.6 (+6.4) | 134.6 (-15.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -8.7 (+6.3) | 131.8 (-12.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BUCK 79 – 67 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 2-11 |
| Away | 8-11 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#277) | -13.2 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#286) | -3.14 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#282) | -3.95 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#270) | 0.363 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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