Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | URI -150 LAS +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | URI -3.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -2.0 (-0.0) | 148.6 (-8.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -2.2 (-0.2) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.4 (+0.6) | 149.5 (-9.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.0 (-0.0) | 148.7 (-8.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#199) | -2.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#184) | 0.06 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#171) | -0.00 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#152) | 0.497 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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